Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 15.065194 17.572533 20.303015 23.488926 27.095347 31.042140 35.679031
2025-04-06 10.529458 13.877126 17.904349 23.064161 29.453432 37.056409 46.734006
2025-04-13 7.589436 11.076900 15.629816 21.916008 30.262732 40.846074 55.141737
2025-04-20 6.422865 10.179808 15.414585 23.075669 33.804135 48.069240 68.198798
2025-04-27 5.662775 9.643323 15.509356 24.527452 37.727496 55.974902 82.649294
2025-05-04 4.837523 8.826140 15.025311 25.004183 40.217797 62.005255 94.881479
2025-05-11 4.063722 7.930815 14.258030 24.898543 41.752772 66.693532 105.439888
2025-05-18 3.379568 7.049116 13.362115 24.435375 42.623463 70.379115 114.682852
2025-05-25 2.828664 6.295409 12.555380 23.984490 43.408407 73.910222 123.828588
2025-06-01 2.373305 5.631063 11.798322 23.501093 44.046284 77.190413 132.714128
2025-06-08 1.906506 4.846905 10.701197 22.270473 43.278728 78.124067 137.906677
2025-06-15 1.763672 4.720067 10.828733 23.262517 46.395949 85.534055 153.826257
2025-06-22 1.614556 4.573401 10.940696 24.322328 49.877441 94.035505 172.479670
2025-06-29 1.335604 4.066551 10.251617 23.777395 50.449772 97.740396 183.591339
2025-07-06 1.057154 3.486244 9.303100 22.579193 49.666873 99.012959 190.648041
2025-07-13 0.982482 3.423922 9.497406 23.764964 53.545981 108.781414 212.894363
2025-07-20 0.932152 3.417640 9.818949 25.253000 58.131928 120.094570 238.439612
2025-07-27 0.831529 3.238254 9.694940 25.741660 60.740281 127.918468 258.175838
2025-08-03 0.715831 2.979496 9.328831 25.633318 62.100863 133.475151 274.092343
2025-08-10 0.602186 2.691618 8.834775 25.158406 62.633302 137.462662 287.309381
2025-08-17 0.506692 2.434027 8.373226 24.696063 63.136056 141.397959 300.602082
2025-08-24 0.424923 2.197268 7.923888 24.200348 63.507606 145.073977 313.564388
2025-08-31 0.335324 1.893032 7.214020 22.938205 62.023939 144.909317 319.124335